Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 odds, betting trends, predictions, expert picks for 2022 bantamweight title fight

Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 odds, betting trends, predictions, expert picks for 2022 bantamweight title fight

In 2019, Nonito Donaire and Naoya Inoue put on a fight fans will never forget. On Tuesday, the two will run it back. On June 7 inside the Saitama Super Arena in Japan, Inoue and Donaire will compete for the WBC, WBA (Super), IBF, and The Ring bantamweight titles. 

Inoue turned pro in 2012. He won the WBC light-flyweight and the WBO junior-bantamweight titles in 2014. Inoue defended the WBO title seven times. He won the WBA (Regular) bantamweight title in 2018 against Jamie McDonnell.

Inoue competed in the World Boxing Super Series bantamweight tournament from 2018-2019. He beat Juan Carlos Payano, Emmanuel Rodriguez, and Donaire to win the tournament as well as the IBF, The Ring, and (regained the) WBA (Super) bantamweight titles. Since the Donaire fight, he has defended his belts against Jason Moloney, Michael Dasmarinas, and Aran Dipaen. 

Donaire made his pro debut in 2001 at the age of 18. “The Filipino Flash” lost his second pro bout and then went on a 30-fight win streak. During that time, Donaire won the IBF and IBO flyweight titles, the WBC and WBO bantamweight titles, and the WBO, IBF, and The Ring super-bantamweight titles. The next bout he would lose would be at the age of 30.

MORE: Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 start time, odds, schedule & card for 2022 bantamweight unification fight

Since 2018, Donaire has gone 6-3. He beat Ryan Burnett and Stephon Young in the World Boxing Super Series tournament, winning the WBA (Super) bantamweight title against Burnett. After losing to Inoue, Donaire won the WBC bantamweight title against Nordine Oubaali in May 2021. His last fight was a knockout win over Reymart Gaballo in December.

What can we expect when these two compete for bantamweight gold once again? The Sporting News is here to give some insight on how to bet on this rematch.

Odds for Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 

Per Vegas Insider, Inoue is the -800 favorite, while Donaire is the +450 underdog.

In Canada, per Sports Interaction, Inoue is the -625 favorite while Donaire is the +350 underdog.  

Prop bets for Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 

Prop bets courtesy of the FanDuel Sportsbook

  • Inoue via KO/TKO: -185
  • Inoue via decision: +320
  • Donaire via KO/TKO: +650
  • Donaire via decision: +1000 
  • Draw: +2600

MORE: Boxing’s top 25 under 25: Ranking the best young stars in 2022, from Devin Haney to Ryan Garcia

Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 prediction

Before we move forward, we must look back at the initial fight between the two. 

During their clash in 2019, Inoue suffered from a cut above his eye (the first time that happened in his career) and a fractured orbital bone. He was able to recover, however, and knocked down Donaire in the 11th round with a body shot. According to CompuBox, Donaire landed 141 shots while Inoue landed 227. Combined, both fighters only landed single-digit shots in four rounds. Inoue would win via unanimous decision in a bout that was named Ring Magazine Fight of the Year.

That was when Donaire was 36. He looked fantastic in defeat, using his lefts towards his advantage. Donaire has looked great since the loss, winning two fights via knockout and winning the WBC bantamweight title in the process. At 39, however, can he bring back some of that magic against “The Monster” in Inoue?

Inoue currently ranks 5th out of all active fighters with a +/- rating of +14.5. His connection percentage is at 35.6%, while his opponents land 21.1% of the time. Donaire has a +/- rating of +0.3. He connects 26.9% of his shots while his opponent lands 26.6% of the time. Looking further into where they stand, Inoue ranks 11th in average total punches landed per round with 23.2. Donaire ranks towards the bottom with 11.3. 

MORE: Boxing Schedule 2022: Date, division, location for upcoming fights

Statistically speaking, Donaire won’t land the most punches in a fight. He landed 38 out of 136 against Reymart Gaballo (a 27.9% connect rating per PunchStat). What he has been able to, however, going 11-5, is nothing short of incredible. Jabbing away and destroying his opponent with the punches that matter shows why he is a legendary fighter that won’t go away that easily. 

The last fight between the two was a true classic. “The Monster” has been on a roll like no other, proving why Inoue is one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the world. Can they do the same in the rematch years later? Inoue is in his prime, but Donaire has managed to take out Father Time at each and every turn. With a training camp that has made Donaire look sharper than ever, it is hard to picture this being a fight he can easily lose. 

Donaire can pull off the win. It is not impossible. As far as the actual winner, Inoue is primed to be one of the true faces of Top Rank and boxing in general. If not a knockout win for either, this fight going the distance makes the most sense. Expect more fireworks in this one. 

Sporting News prediction: Inoue via decision (+320)

What time does Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 start today?

  • Date: Tuesday, June 7
  • Start time: 5:30 a.m. ET | 9:30 a.m. GMT 
  • Main event: 8 a.m. ET | 12 p.m. GMT (Approximately)

MORE: Sign up to watch the Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 fight, exclusively on ESPN+ 

Inoue vs. Donaire 2 takes place on Tuesday, June 7. Event coverage begins at around 5:30 a.m. ET. Inoue and Donaire should make their way to the ring around 8 a.m. ET, depending on how long the undercard fights last. 

What channel is Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 on?

  • TV channel: ESPN+, YouTube

The Inoue vs. Donaire 2 main card will air on ESPN+.

Top Rank will show the bout on their YouTube channel in the U.K.

Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 price: How much does the card cost? 

You can pay $6.99 for a monthly subscription to ESPN+ or buy an annual subscription for $69.99.

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Naoya Inoue vs. Nonito Donaire 2 fight card

  • Naoya Inoue (c) vs. Nonito Doniare (c) for the WBC, WBA (Super), IBF, and The Ring bantamweight titles
  • Takuma Inoue vs. Gakuya Furuhashi; Super-Bantamweights
  • Andy Hiraoka vs. Shun Akaiwa; Super-Lightweights
  • Toshiya Ishii vs. Hikaru Fukunaga; Super-Bantamweights
  • Kanamu Sakama vs. Fuki Ishigaki; Light-Flyweights